firenum vs ProjectionLab: An Honest Head-to-Head

We built one of these two tools. Here's where ours loses.

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Full disclosure at maximum strength: I build firenum. A comparison page written by one of the competitors is either the least trustworthy page on the internet or the most, depending on one thing: whether it names the places its own product loses. This one does, specifically and first.

Where ProjectionLab Beats firenum

Where firenum Beats ProjectionLab

Feature by Feature

CapabilityfirenumProjectionLab
Price$0, all features$0 no saving / $129/yr Premium / $1,199 lifetime
Monte Carlo simulationYes (100–5,000 runs, configurable volatility)Yes
Historical backtestingYes, 1871–present (Shiller data)Yes
Tax modelingNoYes (Premium)
Roth conversionsNoYes (Premium)
Scenario compare modeSnapshot URLs onlyYes (Premium)
Multi-currency9 currencies, locale formattingDisplay symbol only
Data storageYour browser only, no accountCloud, account required
Saved plans at $0YesNo
Sankey cash-flow diagramYesNo
Survival heatmapYesNo
Stress test scenarios6 built-inVia manual what-ifs (Premium)
Withdrawal strategies3 + age-59.5 ruleConfigurable withdrawal order
Mobile experienceFull feature setDesktop-first

The Simulation Engines Are Closer Than You'd Think

Both tools run drift-corrected Monte Carlo and both backtest against real historical returns. On the math that decides whether your plan survives, the two produce comparable answers; firenum documents its full methodology with derivations if you want to check the work. The differences that matter are around the engine: taxes on their side, privacy and currency handling on ours.

The Honest Answer: Many People Should Use Both

These tools charge differently because they're built differently. ProjectionLab pays a team through subscriptions and gives you tax-aware depth in return. firenum costs nothing to run per user (static files, your browser does the math) and gives you privacy and breadth in return. A workflow I genuinely recommend:

Verdict

If you need US tax modeling, pick ProjectionLab and don't look back; our full ProjectionLab review rates it 4.5/5. If you want private, multi-currency planning with everything saved and nothing paid, pick firenum. If you're serious about early retirement, the combined cost of using both is $0 to $129 a year, which is a rounding error against the decisions they'll improve.

See the firenum side of the comparison yourself.