Full disclosure at maximum strength: I build firenum. A comparison page written by one of the competitors is either the least trustworthy page on the internet or the most, depending on one thing: whether it names the places its own product loses. This one does, specifically and first.
Where ProjectionLab Beats firenum
- Tax modeling. ProjectionLab estimates US federal and state taxes year by year. firenum doesn't model taxes at all; you approximate them as expenses. If your plan depends on tax strategy, ProjectionLab is the right tool and this comparison ends here for you.
- Roth conversion planning. Conversion ladders with year-by-year tax consequences. firenum has nothing comparable.
- Scenario comparison. Premium's side-by-side compare mode (retire at 45 vs 50, with all charts duplicated) is the best in the category. firenum lets you share snapshot URLs and swap between them, which is a workaround, not a feature.
- Milestone storytelling. ProjectionLab's life-event timeline and progress views are more polished and more motivating.
Where firenum Beats ProjectionLab
- Price: $0 with persistence. ProjectionLab's $0 tier can't save your plan; saved plans cost $129/year. firenum saves everything in your browser's localStorage at no cost, forever, because there's no server to pay for.
- Privacy architecture. firenum has no accounts and no database. Your plan physically cannot leak from a server that doesn't exist. ProjectionLab requires an account and stores plans in the cloud (with a good privacy reputation, to be fair).
- Multi-currency. firenum supports 9 currencies with real locale formatting (lakh/crore for INR, 万 for JPY). ProjectionLab's multi-currency request has been its most-voted open issue since November 2021.
- Cash-flow visualization. firenum draws a full Sankey diagram of where every dollar flows in any projection year, plus a Trinity-style portfolio survival heatmap across withdrawal rates.
- Stress testing. Six one-click scenarios: market crash with recovery path, job loss, expense spike, inflation surge, lower returns, earlier retirement.
Feature by Feature
| Capability | firenum | ProjectionLab |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $0, all features | $0 no saving / $129/yr Premium / $1,199 lifetime |
| Monte Carlo simulation | Yes (100–5,000 runs, configurable volatility) | Yes |
| Historical backtesting | Yes, 1871–present (Shiller data) | Yes |
| Tax modeling | No | Yes (Premium) |
| Roth conversions | No | Yes (Premium) |
| Scenario compare mode | Snapshot URLs only | Yes (Premium) |
| Multi-currency | 9 currencies, locale formatting | Display symbol only |
| Data storage | Your browser only, no account | Cloud, account required |
| Saved plans at $0 | Yes | No |
| Sankey cash-flow diagram | Yes | No |
| Survival heatmap | Yes | No |
| Stress test scenarios | 6 built-in | Via manual what-ifs (Premium) |
| Withdrawal strategies | 3 + age-59.5 rule | Configurable withdrawal order |
| Mobile experience | Full feature set | Desktop-first |
The Simulation Engines Are Closer Than You'd Think
Both tools run drift-corrected Monte Carlo and both backtest against real historical returns. On the math that decides whether your plan survives, the two produce comparable answers; firenum documents its full methodology with derivations if you want to check the work. The differences that matter are around the engine: taxes on their side, privacy and currency handling on ours.
The Honest Answer: Many People Should Use Both
These tools charge differently because they're built differently. ProjectionLab pays a team through subscriptions and gives you tax-aware depth in return. firenum costs nothing to run per user (static files, your browser does the math) and gives you privacy and breadth in return. A workflow I genuinely recommend:
- Do your everyday planning, check-ins, and stress tests in firenum: private, instant, saved locally.
- When a decision has real tax consequences (a Roth ladder, a big taxable sale, ACA subsidy planning), model that decision in ProjectionLab : the $0 tier will show you whether the Premium depth is worth it for your case.
Verdict
If you need US tax modeling, pick ProjectionLab and don't look back; our full ProjectionLab review rates it 4.5/5. If you want private, multi-currency planning with everything saved and nothing paid, pick firenum. If you're serious about early retirement, the combined cost of using both is $0 to $129 a year, which is a rounding error against the decisions they'll improve.
See the firenum side of the comparison yourself.